The Ocho

A home away from home for the college football fan who's tired of the talking heads not knowing what they're talking about.

Friday, September 16, 2005

Week 3 Lines

Alabama at South Carolina (+2)
Illinois at California (-21)
Florida State at Boston College (+1)
Kentucky (+2.5) at Indiana
Oregon State (+14) at Louisville
Michigan State (+6.5) at Notre Dame
Purdue at Arizona (+7)
SMU (+27.5) at Texas A&M
Arkansas (+31.5) at USC
Ole Miss (+3) at Vanderbilt

This would be a great week for some teasers: example: Arkansas (+37.5) at USC with Michigan State (+12.5) at Notre Dame. Also, I would ML both the MSU-Notre Dame as well as Ole Miss-Vandy. The gimme line of the week is FSU at BC (+1). Take the Eagles.

mini-analysis of picks:

Alabama-South Carolina: Alabama has yet to post an impressive victory during the Shula Era. Maybe they hired the wrong head coach? Auburn may have blanked them, but Croom seems to be doing more with less at MSU as compared to his Alabama counterpart. South Carolina 23 Alabama 16.

Illinois-California: It's possible that Cal might struggle early against this Big Ten oppoent, but they are at home and should be able to name their score in the second half. California 45 Illinois 17.

FSU-Boston College: FSU has a great defense, but BC isn't going to allow 9 sacks. It's possible that BC's defense will outscore FSU alone. Look for this one to get potentially ugly. Boston College 27 FSU 13.

Kentucky-Indiana: Even without the wideouts, Andre Woodson is by far the best athlete on this field. Kentucky 37 Indiana 31.

Oregon St-Louisville: If Lousville controls the game with Mike Bush, then this game could get ugly. But they didn't even do that against Kentucky. Oregon St will put on a good show before fading late. Lousville 34 Oregon St 23.

Michigan St-Notre Dame: Drew Stanton is to be watched. Notre Dame can't bring it 3 straight weekends. MSU 20 ND 17.

Purdue-Arizona: Arizona's defense is DAMN good. Purdue will be happy to win this game, let alone cover the spread. Purdue 24 Arizona 21.

SMU-Texas A&M: SMU's performance against Baylor and not against TCU is what makes this pick. Texas A&M 38 SMU 21.

Arkansas-USC: Arkansas can run the ball so USC's defensive line better come prepared. Look for Arkansas to keep it close until midway through the 2nd quarter when USC creates separation. However, don't look for USC to cover the line. USC 41 Arkansas 22.

Ole Miss-Vandy: It's time to jump off the Vandy bandwagon. Ole Miss beat a respectable Memphis team (which Vegas installed as the favorite) and based on a lucky Vandy win over Arksansas, Vandy is labeled the favorite. In case you didn't realize this, Vandy is the FAVORITE. Ole Miss isn't great, but it isn't Vanderbilt either. Ole Miss 27 Vandy 21.

1 Comments:

At 9:33 PM, Blogger Brad said...

venu-

how's your pocketbook after this weekend?

 

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